JOURNAL OF HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING ›› 2016, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (2): 82-89.doi: 10.11660/slfdxb.20160210
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Abstract: Risk control of high rock-fill dam construction in flood season can be achieved by appropriate dam filling schedule. This study has introduced an adaptive control theory to the development of a water retaining risk dynamic control model and the design of control schemes on high rock-fill dam construction. The flood hydrograph is simulated by a first-order autoregressive time series model using measured flood series, and real-time risk can be calculated. Then, the rock-fill dam filling progress is adjusted dynamically by limiting the real-time risk to the accepted risk range, which can be taken as a desired trajectory on account of the risk preference of decision-maker. By such a dynamic adjustment, the real-time risk as entire trajectory will aim to track this desired trajectory to maximum coincidence. Application to a practical case shows that this dynamic control model can effectively control the risk to the expected target and explain why the maximum cost that the decision-maker is willing to pay tends to be stable in late flood season. This study provides support for the progress control and flood protection decision making.
LIU Lian, HU Zhigen. Water retaining risk dynamic control model for high rock-fill dams under construction in flood season[J].JOURNAL OF HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING, 2016, 35(2): 82-89.
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URL: http://www.slfdxb.cn/EN/10.11660/slfdxb.20160210
http://www.slfdxb.cn/EN/Y2016/V35/I2/82
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