水力发电学报 ›› 2016, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (4): 80-88.doi: 10.11660/slfdxb.20160410
• 水力发电学报 • 上一篇 下一篇
出版日期:
发布日期:
Online:
Published:
Abstract: To improve the accuracy of tidal prediction, this paper presents a time series model using artificial neural network combined with chaos theory, and this model has been developed to overcome the limitation of empirical model and traditional neural network model. It determines the existence of chaotic behaviors in the data series of every-other-day difference in tidal time; then, phase-space reconstruction for the error series of empirical model is applied to neural network inputs. The model can give a prediction of errors that is useful for modifying or updating the final results. Prediction of the tidal times during one month at four tide observation stations on the Qiantang River shows that the model reduces the root mean square error (RMSE) by 83.9% and has accuracy higher than the traditional model.
王瑞荣,薛楚,陈浩龙. 基于混沌优化BP神经网络的江河涌潮短期预报模型[J]. 水力发电学报, 2016, 35(4): 80-88.
WANG Ruirong, XUE Chu, CHEN Haolong. Short-term prediction model of river tidal bores based on chaos optimization algorithms and BP neural networks[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING, 2016, 35(4): 80-88.
0 / / 推荐
导出引用管理器 EndNote|Reference Manager|ProCite|BibTeX|RefWorks
链接本文: http://www.slfdxb.cn/CN/10.11660/slfdxb.20160410
http://www.slfdxb.cn/CN/Y2016/V35/I4/80
Cited