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水力发电学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6): 197-203.

• 水力发电 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于贝叶斯网络Noisy Or模型的水电机组故障诊断研究

  

  • 出版日期:2015-06-25 发布日期:2015-06-25

Study of hydropower units fault diagnosis based on Bayesian network Noisy Or model

  • Online:2015-06-25 Published:2015-06-25

Abstract: A fault diagnosis system of hydropower units is developed using a Bayesian network to consider complicated system structure and uncertain factors in fault diagnosis. This system adopts a Noisy Or model to overcome the shortcomings of the network in large numbers of probabilities and difficulty in determining their values. Taking the characteristic nodes as binary nodes, it uses experts’ knowledge determining the probability at each node and calculates the influence of random combinations of multiple nodes on the outcome, thus determining the possibility of occurrence of a certain fault. The simulations indicate that the number of conditional probabilities required by this new model is decreased from 2n to 2n, and thus it significantly reduces the data demand and raises the time efficiency of hydropower units fault diagnosis.

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