水力发电学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (4): 16-21.
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Abstract: Copula function is used to combine the correlation degree and relevance pattern of independent variable and dependent variable. A joint distribution function can be constructed, and its interrelated structure with the two variables is analysed. Then, expressions for the relation of the marginal distribution of dependent variable versus the joint distribution are formulated, and the unknown value of dependent variable is predicted through a combination with the known sample value of probability distribution of independent variable. Case study of annual runoff prediction shows that this Copula prediction method has a clear theoretical basis and it is stable and accurate. This method not just provides new ideas for hydrological prediction, but offers new insights into Copula function.
陈晶,王文圣. Copula预测方法及其在年径流预测中的应用[J]. 水力发电学报, 2015, 34(4): 16-21.
CHEN Jing, WANG Wensheng. Copula function method and its application to prediction of runoff[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING, 2015, 34(4): 16-21.
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