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水力发电学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2): 23-30.

• 水文水资源、水电规划及动能经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

梯级水库汛限水位动态控制

  

  • 出版日期:2015-02-25 发布日期:2015-02-25

Dynamic control of flood limited water level for cascade reservoirs

  • Online:2015-02-25 Published:2015-02-25

Abstract: This paper presents a method for real-time dynamic control of flood limited water level for the Qing River cascade reservoirs. In this method, we developed a weather forecasting model for forecasting the flood process in future three days, then an optimal-operation-curve model using a genetic algorithm for optimization of long-term reservoir operation and a binary Copula-SAR stochastic model to simulate the long-term behaviors of runoff. Finally, a real-time optimal operation model was constructed using an aggregation-disaggregation approach to dynamic control flood limited water level for cascade reservoirs and considering the rules for coupling long-term and short-term operations, and an optimal algorithm POA was adopted to solve the model. The results show that the real-time dynamic control with long-term operation rules can generate extra power outputs of 0.059 and 0.314 billion kW·h (increases by 6.2% and 45.1%) relative to those without coupling long-term operation rules and in design operation, respectively.

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