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水力发电学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (4): 57-69.doi: 10.11660/slfdxb.20230406

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通风竖井布置改进FCM-EWM-MABAC多属性决策研究

  

  • 出版日期:2023-04-25 发布日期:2023-04-25

Study on improved FCM-EWM-MABAC multi-attribute decision making for ventilation shaft layout


  • Online:2023-04-25 Published:2023-04-25

摘要: 现有的水电站地下洞室通风竖井布置方案优选多采用单一评价指标,且主观权重确定常忽略指标关联性或过度依赖专家意见。针对上述问题,本文构建包含技术可行性、经济合理性、安全可靠性等多属性的综合评价指标体系,并提出通风竖井布置方案改进模糊认知地图(fuzzy cognitive map,FCM)-熵权法(entropy weight method,EWM)-多属性边界逼近区域比较(multi-attribute boundary area comparison,MABAC)决策模型。其中,采用能够兼顾指标关联性且具有较强自主学习能力的主观权重改进FCM法,与客观权重EWM法组合以确定指标组合权重;进一步,提出多属性决策改进MABAC模型,将待选方案与正负理想解的相对距离作为决策依据,解决传统MABAC中准则距离和相近方案难以分辨优劣的问题。将本文所提方法应用于洛宁抽水蓄能电站地下洞室通风竖井布置方案优选中,结果表明该方法优选出的方案在技术、经济、安全等方面均表现良好,并证明改进FCM和改进MABAC方法的优越性。本文所提模型为地下洞室通风竖井布置方案的优选提供了一种新思路。

关键词: 地下洞室, 通风竖井布置方案, 改进FCM, 熵权法, 多属性决策, MABAC

Abstract: In the existing studies on the layout scheme of ventilation shafts in the underground caves of hydropower stations, usually only a single factor is selected as an evaluation basis, and the specification of index weights often ignores the relevance of factors or relies too much on expert opinions. To improve decision making, this paper first constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for layout schemes which includes technical feasibility, economic rationality, and safe reliability, etc. Then, for scheme selection, we develop an improved decision model of fuzzy cognitive map (FCM)-entropy weight method (EWM)-multi-attribute boundary area comparison (MABAC). This model calculates the index combining weights by adopting an improved FCM that calculates factor correlation and has strong autonomous learning ability, and combines it with EWM. We improve the MABAC model by taking into the decision basis the relative distance between the selected scheme and the positive and negative ideal schemes, so as to overcome the problem with the traditional MABAC in distinguishing between a standard-distance scheme and its similar schemes. Finally, this new method is applied to optimizing the ventilation shaft layout scheme for an underground cavern at the Luoning pumped storage power station. The results show that the optimized scheme can achieve satisfactory effects in technology, economy and safety, demonstrating the advantages of the improved FCM and improved MABAC and a new idea for further study on multi-attribute decision making for cave ventilation shafts.

Key words: underground cave, ventilation shaft layout scheme, improved FCM, entropy method, multi-attribute decision making, MABAC

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