水力发电学报
            首 页   |   期刊介绍   |   编委会   |   投稿须知   |   下载中心   |   联系我们   |   学术规范   |   编辑部公告   |   English

水力发电学报 ›› 2014, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 20-24.

• 水文水资源、水电规划及动能经济 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于滑动Copula函数的降水和径流关系变异诊断

  

  • 出版日期:2014-12-25 发布日期:2014-12-25

Diagnosis of abrupt changes in precipitation and runoff relation based on sliding Copula function

  • Online:2014-12-25 Published:2014-12-25

Abstract: A diagnostic method of abrupt changes combining sliding window and Copula function is
presented. This method draws dependency diagram in different sliding windows using monthly series of
precipitation and runoff at the Huaxian station of the Wei River, and it fits best Copula functions of
precipitation and runoff based on an Euclidean distance criterion. Results show that in their abrupt change
periods of in 1972 and 1984, precipitation and runoff followed a relationship of T-Copula function in
1951-1972 and 1985-2011 and of Clayton-Copula function in 1973-1984. Advantages of the Copula function
are helpful in simulation of bivariate relationship and deeper understanding of the tail dependence of
precipitation-runoff relationship, which would provide a new approach to variables relationship for random
abrupt changes.

京ICP备13015787号-3
版权所有 © 2013《水力发电学报》编辑部
编辑部地址:中国北京清华大学水电工程系 邮政编码:100084 电话:010-62783813
本系统由北京玛格泰克科技发展有限公司设计开发  技术支持:support@magtech.com.cn