水力发电学报 ›› 2014, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 20-24.
• 水文水资源、水电规划及动能经济 • 上一篇 下一篇
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Abstract: A diagnostic method of abrupt changes combining sliding window and Copula function is presented. This method draws dependency diagram in different sliding windows using monthly series of precipitation and runoff at the Huaxian station of the Wei River, and it fits best Copula functions of precipitation and runoff based on an Euclidean distance criterion. Results show that in their abrupt change periods of in 1972 and 1984, precipitation and runoff followed a relationship of T-Copula function in 1951-1972 and 1985-2011 and of Clayton-Copula function in 1973-1984. Advantages of the Copula function are helpful in simulation of bivariate relationship and deeper understanding of the tail dependence of precipitation-runoff relationship, which would provide a new approach to variables relationship for random abrupt changes.
李艳玲,畅建霞,黄 强,等. 基于滑动Copula函数的降水和径流关系变异诊断[J]. 水力发电学报, 2014, 33(6): 20-24.
LI Yanling,CHANG Jianxia, et al . Diagnosis of abrupt changes in precipitation and runoff relation based on sliding Copula function[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING, 2014, 33(6): 20-24.
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