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水力发电学报

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梯级水库土石坝连溃模拟及风险分析

  

  • 出版日期:2018-07-25 发布日期:2018-07-25

Sequential dam break simulation and risk analysis of earth-rock dams of cascade reservoirs

  • Online:2018-07-25 Published:2018-07-25

摘要: 目前梯级水库群的建设开发越来越重要,但是国内外学者在这方面的研究还很少。针对这种现状,在DB-IWHR溃坝模型计算土石坝溃坝过程的基础上,通过调洪演算把上下游水库联系起来,建立了梯级水库土石坝连续溃坝模型。选取实例(唐家山—甲水库梯级水库),在下游甲水库有预警、无预警和不同泄水能力等工况下,进行了连溃模拟及风险分析。结果表明用DB-IWHR溃坝模型模拟唐家山水库溃坝过程,流量模拟值与实测值吻合较好,但比实测值稍大;在梯级水库运行中,通过增加预警信号提前泄水和增大下游水库泄水能力可有效降低梯级水库连续溃坝的风险。

Abstract: At present, cascade reservoir dams become increasingly important, but the research is still relatively inadequate at home and abroad. This study relates the upstream and downstream reservoirs using flood regulation and develops a numerical model for a sequential dam break of earth-rock dams based on the dam-break model DB-IWHR. In a case study of the Tangjiashan-Jia cascade reservoirs, simulation and risk analysis are made under the conditions of different discharge capacities and different early warnings for the downstream reservoir. Results show that for Tangjiashan reservoir, the calculated flow rates of its dam break floods are a little larger than the measured results but they agree quite well. In cascade reservoir cases, the risk of sequential dam breaks can be significant cut down through enhancing early warning for reducing reservoir storage in advance or increasing the discharge capacity of downstream reservoirs.

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